Special thanks to Cyrus Santoriello for writing this take and giving us the privilege to add it to GetGarnett.com. Again, if you guys see anything Lakers related that you think deserves to be put up, just e-mail us at GetGarnett@gmail.com.
It is a good possibility considering the incompetency of the chaotic Lakers’ front office. I deliberately call it the “front office” because just one person alone, Mitch Kupchak, couldn’t possibly generate so many blunders. We must add the narcissistic Jimmy Buss and the former Playboy centerfold -in love with the Hall of Fame coach- to the mix for complete chaos.
With a messy front office (Kobe called it a “mess” in his media frenzy) in charge, there is a good chance we start the season with the present roster. Except Derek Fisher, Javaris Crittenton and possibly Coby Karl (Kobe Light), the supporting cast remains intact. To predict any results, we shall go back in history and examine their performance last season before injuries, the time frame between Oct.31 and Jan.17, 2007.
Injuries were a major contributor to the disappointing season. Thus, we must take a closer look at the first 39 games of the season (almost halfway into the season) using statistics and probabilities. Out of 39 games, they won 26 and lost 13 games, which translates into 55-27 (54.66-27.33 to be exact) in 82 games or 0.670 Pct. Remember; Odom was injured on Dec.12 and he didn’t play in 18 of those 39 games. K. Brown was injured on Dec.31 and he was absent in 8 of those 39 games.
In 39 games, they played Phoenix once and Lakers won (Oct.31, 114-106). They won both games against Spurs (Dec.10, 106-99 and Jan.17, 100-96 in SA.). Lakers lost the road game against Mavs. (Dec.13, 101-110) but won the home game (Jan.7, 101-98). With other words; Lakers won 4 of 5 games playing agianst the big three (Mavs-Suns-Spurs.) However, 7 of 13 games were lost to teams under 0.500; Bobcats, Hornets, Grizzlies, S.Sonics, Bucks, Wizards and Portland.
A healthy roster with addition of Derek Fisher, Javaris Crittenton and Chris Mihm could produce a 0.670 or higher Pct. overall. That would position this team in the 3rd or 4th playoff spot. Utah finished the season 51-31 (0.622) and eliminated Rockets and Warriors to face the Spurs in Western conference finals.
Several other factors could be considered as well; Kwame Brown is on the clock with his expiring contract; his future in the league hinges on his performance this coming season. Andrew Bynum and Lamar Odom both have been on the block and it’s no secret that the Lakers are shopping them. Andrew and Lamar want to stay in Lakers’ uniform; they must perform to prove they are worth keeping. Lamar’s performance in his last playoff game against Suns is a good example.
Without a doubt adding JO to this team, without losing Odom, is preferred over status quo. However, it ain’t all lost if we don’t land O’Neal. We could possibly make it to the Western conference finals, but would that be enough to appease Kobe?