Jump to content




Photo

Lakers Season Prediction Thread

prediction hypothesis estimate

  • Please log in to reply
97 replies to this topic

#41 West Coast

West Coast

    LN Senior Editor

  • 21,354 posts
  • Joined: Jul 31, 2008
  • Location:California
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe Bryant

Posted October 28, 2013 - 01:17 PM

I've said this previously but if we are bound to be a 7th/8th seed, I'd rather miss the playoffs and get a lottery pick.  I don't see any possible way this team can get past the second round of the playoffs this year. 

 

I wouldn't say that we didn't improve because chemistry wise we will be better and offensively we will be better as well.  But in terms of defense and rebounding, we are going to struggle and those two things are what you need to be successful. 



#42 Harry Styles

Harry Styles

    King of Hearts

  • 1,428 posts
  • Joined: Jul 31, 2013
  • Name:Dilan
  • Fan Since:Birth
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe Bean Bryant

Posted October 28, 2013 - 01:30 PM

21-61

Nash is arrested after the second game and misses the entire year, Gasol thinks he's MJ and starts trying to dunk on people and tears his ACL and Kobe tells the rest of the players to go [expletive] themselves, all leading to Nick Young shooting 45 times a game, and Kaman thinking he's prime Hakeem...



#43 Majesty

Majesty

    Grats on making the Raiderettes cuzzo!!

  • 35,990 posts
  • Joined: Dec 11, 2011
  • Name:Jay
  • Fan Since:1987
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe present, Magic past

Posted October 28, 2013 - 01:46 PM

I've said this previously but if we are bound to be a 7th/8th seed, I'd rather miss the playoffs and get a lottery pick.  I don't see any possible way this team can get past the second round of the playoffs this year. 

 

I wouldn't say that we didn't improve because chemistry wise we will be better and offensively we will be better as well.  But in terms of defense and rebounding, we are going to struggle and those two things are what you need to be successful. 



When it comes down to the lottery pick, I don't think anything is beating the Suns this year.

The Suns are going to be significantly worse than we could be, and they have FOUR first round picks now and that's just one team.

There's other teams that look lottery bound no matter how hard they try.   If the Lakers had a 'missed playoffs' year.  I don't think they'd get a pick sooner than 15th-19th imo.


That said, I would hope we'd be closer to the 5th seed than the 8th. We were about 2 wins away from 6th last year.    So considering that the Grizzlies and Nuggets are on pace to drop further(OKC could as well considering they are going about 2 months without Westbrook and then it depends on how long it takes Westbrook to get back to form when he returns) I don't think it will be as cut and dry as it looks.


If we look at those 15 teams from last year  from 1 to 15th

Thunder
Spurs
Nuggets
Clippers
Grizzlies

Warriors
Lakers
Rockets

out of the loop
Jazz

Mavericks

Blazers

Wolves

Kings
Hornets
Suns 

On the rise
Rockets, Clippers


On the fall
Nuggets, Grizzlies, potentially OKC,

Will stay more or less where they are at
Warriors  


On the bubble,  T'wolves, Pelicans. Mavericks

 

 

When it comes down to that bottom half I think that after the four teams

Spurs, Rockets, Clippers, maybe OKC. 

There will be a gigantic dropoff in wins losses.  

The Lakers could realistically be the 5th seed with just 50 wins this year.   Or fighting for the 5th seed with the Warriors.  

Every team beneath them I expect to be 42 win teams.  Those are like the Wolves, Pelicans, Mavericks.  

So if the Lakers can stay on pace for between 50-45 wins they'll be set for not being the 7th or 8th seed.

Anything less and it'd be a problem imo. 


Edited by Majesty, October 28, 2013 - 02:02 PM.

Is Wayne Brady gonna have to Djokovic? - Robert Flores 


#44 fido

fido

    Analyst, Moderator, Insomniac

  • 10,829 posts
  • Joined: Aug 01, 2008
  • Location:Costa Mesa, CA
  • Name:Andy
  • Fan Since:1982
  • Fav. Laker:Magic Johnson

Posted October 28, 2013 - 04:03 PM

Dallas won't be close to the playoffs the entire season, they don't factor in at all.

#45 Thanatos

Thanatos

    Rookie

  • 1,228 posts
  • Joined: Jul 04, 2012
  • Fan Since:2002

Posted October 28, 2013 - 04:51 PM

I've said this previously but if we are bound to be a 7th/8th seed, I'd rather miss the playoffs and get a lottery pick.  I don't see any possible way this team can get past the second round of the playoffs this year. 

 

I wouldn't say that we didn't improve because chemistry wise we will be better and offensively we will be better as well.  But in terms of defense and rebounding, we are going to struggle and those two things are what you need to be successful. 

Totally agree, no point in getting a 7th-8th seed only to get busted in the first round.


Posted Image

#46 LakerGeezer

LakerGeezer

    Off The Bench

  • 1,701 posts
  • Joined: Jan 06, 2013
  • Location:North Korea
  • Fan Since:1990
  • Fav. Laker:Dennis Rodman

Posted October 28, 2013 - 06:10 PM

Predictions:  

 

Kobe works through what would be for normal, older athletes a career ending injury, starts to look like an average NBA player by year end.

 

Gasol plays no defense, is consistently out of rebounding position, looks old.

 

Nash gets hurt, plays limited minutes when healthy, is a major defensive liability.

 

Young jacks up shots from distance with wide open teammates under the rim.

 

Kaman gets consistently muscled around by most bigs.

 

Farmar looks like a player from the Turkish league.

 

Hill plays with energy and courage, but is consistently trying to rebound and play help defense while quick guards have burned their defenders and are in the lane.

 

Record:

31-51



#47 West Coast

West Coast

    LN Senior Editor

  • 21,354 posts
  • Joined: Jul 31, 2008
  • Location:California
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe Bryant

Posted October 28, 2013 - 06:17 PM

Predictions:  

 

Gasol plays no defense, is consistently out of rebounding position, looks old.

 

Nash gets hurt, plays limited minutes when healthy, is a major defensive liability.

 

Young jacks up shots from distance with wide open teammates under the rim.

 

Kaman gets consistently muscled around by most bigs.

 

Hill plays with energy and courage, but is consistently trying to rebound and play help defense while quick guards have burned their defenders and are in the lane.

 

Woah, really going out on a limb there with those predictions huh?  :laughing:



#48 LakerGeezer

LakerGeezer

    Off The Bench

  • 1,701 posts
  • Joined: Jan 06, 2013
  • Location:North Korea
  • Fan Since:1990
  • Fav. Laker:Dennis Rodman

Posted October 28, 2013 - 06:24 PM

Woah, really going out on a limb there with those predictions huh?  :laughing:

Very bold of me, I know.



#49 Ham

Ham

    Rap Enthusiast

  • 6,485 posts
  • Joined: Jul 10, 2012
  • Fan Since:Showtime
  • Fav. Laker:Magic Johnson, Kobe Bryant

Posted October 28, 2013 - 07:05 PM

If Kobe comes out [expletive]ing people up, 50-32, seat 7. Second round exit.

 

If Kobe shells a little, 38-44, top 3 lottery pick through lottery.

 

Notice how everything depends on Kobe and how uncertain I am.


Edited by Ham, October 28, 2013 - 07:06 PM.

Mike D'Antoni is GARBAGE.


#50 MDI

MDI

    Jesus Fan

  • 35,921 posts
  • Joined: Jul 24, 2008
  • Location:Irvine
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe Bryant

Posted October 28, 2013 - 07:06 PM

30-35 wins. Making this prediction with the roster as is and our 3 best players (Nash, Gasol, Kobe) health being a huge question mark

 

Hopefully a top 10 draft pick is a result


9u6kvo.png

 

Props to sidthekid871


#51 BasketballIQ

BasketballIQ

    All-Star

  • 6,715 posts
  • Joined: Dec 29, 2012
  • Name:2 Jordans and 2 Steves
  • Fav. Laker:24

Posted October 28, 2013 - 07:30 PM

I can't believe every one has faith in Memphis.

 

First full year without Gay and who expects 82 from Zach. Without both of thenm , that team can't score.

 

Denver really has  no chance of being what they were last season.

 

 

Howard and Harden , i don't know about that mix. They seem to be a good offensive team. Clippers will be solid. SAS might have a good year. GS won ONE more game last season than us. It's conceivable that we can win  more games this year.

 

 

 

I just see no team that is GREAt and all the way ready.

 

 

The Clippers are the closest, but I don't trust Chris paul to close the ultimate deal an BBlake has to be better



#52 reryo

reryo

    Rookie

  • 1,321 posts
  • Joined: Oct 21, 2012
  • Name:Lee
  • Fan Since:2006
  • Fav. Laker:Odom

Posted October 28, 2013 - 07:34 PM

Totally agree, no point in getting a 7th-8th seed only to get busted in the first round.

 

There isn't a point in getting knocked out in any round when you're the Lakers.



#53 LakerGeezer

LakerGeezer

    Off The Bench

  • 1,701 posts
  • Joined: Jan 06, 2013
  • Location:North Korea
  • Fan Since:1990
  • Fav. Laker:Dennis Rodman

Posted October 28, 2013 - 07:40 PM

CBS Sports predicting we will finish 11th in the West.

http://www.cbssports...nba-predictions

 

ESPN:  12th

http://espn.go.com/n...-west-standings

 

Proball Report: 13th

http://probballrepor...west-standings/

 

Bleacher Report:  12th

http://bleacherrepor...ng-week/page/20

 

All these experts must be wrong.

 

Sure glad we are so deep, athletic and talented this year or we might finish ... 12th.



#54 BasketballIQ

BasketballIQ

    All-Star

  • 6,715 posts
  • Joined: Dec 29, 2012
  • Name:2 Jordans and 2 Steves
  • Fav. Laker:24

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:15 PM

CBS Sports predicting we will finish 11th in the West.

http://www.cbssports...nba-predictions

 

ESPN:  12th

http://espn.go.com/n...-west-standings

 

Proball Report: 13th

http://probballrepor...west-standings/

 

Bleacher Report:  12th

http://bleacherrepor...ng-week/page/20

 

All these experts must be wrong.

 

Sure glad we are so deep, athletic and talented this year or we might finish ... 12th.

Were they right last season?

 

 

i can tell you didn't watch the pre season



#55 MidnightMarauder

MidnightMarauder

    Off The Bench

  • 1,435 posts
  • Joined: Nov 07, 2012
  • Location:Miami, Florida
  • Name:Michael
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe, Lamar, Worthy, Magic

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:17 PM

I'll say 43 wins at the most. Honestly wouldn't be surprised to see this team win like 38, though.

 

I think Nash will be limited all year when he does play and will play less than 50 games.

 

Lakers will be in bottom 10 of defensive efficiency and will routinely get bullied on the boards with Williams or Johnson at the 4

 

I think Kobe will come back before December and average 23 PPG once he gets some games under his belt. 

 

I think MDA will be fired before the end of the year, but either way I don't think he's here beyond this year. 



#56 Majesty

Majesty

    Grats on making the Raiderettes cuzzo!!

  • 35,990 posts
  • Joined: Dec 11, 2011
  • Name:Jay
  • Fan Since:1987
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe present, Magic past

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:17 PM

Were they right last season?

 

 

i can tell you didn't watch the pre season



Geezer likes to get a reaction :)


Edited by Majesty, October 28, 2013 - 08:18 PM.

Is Wayne Brady gonna have to Djokovic? - Robert Flores 


#57 LakerGeezer

LakerGeezer

    Off The Bench

  • 1,701 posts
  • Joined: Jan 06, 2013
  • Location:North Korea
  • Fan Since:1990
  • Fav. Laker:Dennis Rodman

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:28 PM

Were they right last season?

 

 

i can tell you didn't watch the pre season

No they were very wrong and so were most of us, even after they and we watched the preseason 0-8 debacle and didnt think it mattered.  What did the preseason tell us this year that we SHOULD pay attention to?

 

4-4 record did not play any elite teams unless you count GSW

Shot 40%, 33% from 3pt range

Played lousy defense, gave up 100 PPG

Got consistently outrebounded by a wide margin 



#58 Majesty

Majesty

    Grats on making the Raiderettes cuzzo!!

  • 35,990 posts
  • Joined: Dec 11, 2011
  • Name:Jay
  • Fan Since:1987
  • Fav. Laker:Kobe present, Magic past

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:33 PM

No they were very wrong and so were most of us, even after they and we watched the preseason 0-8 debacle and didnt think it mattered.  What did the preseason tell us this year that we SHOULD pay attention to?

 

4-4 record did not play any elite teams unless you count GSW

Shot 40%, 33% from 3pt range

Played lousy defense, gave up 100 PPG

Got consistently outrebounded by a wide margin 



Constantly played end of the bench guys in the 2nd half of 3 of those games :)   

Unless you think that we're gonna be playing lineups of Kelly, Harris and Landry for extended periods of time ;) 


Is Wayne Brady gonna have to Djokovic? - Robert Flores 


#59 LakerGeezer

LakerGeezer

    Off The Bench

  • 1,701 posts
  • Joined: Jan 06, 2013
  • Location:North Korea
  • Fan Since:1990
  • Fav. Laker:Dennis Rodman

Posted October 28, 2013 - 08:45 PM

^That's a fair observation.  But the opponents were likely also looking at the end of their benches as well.  That's the whole point of the preseason, to evaluate talent and work on schemes.  It means something but cant be over analyzed either.  Basketball IQ wants to make it mean something ... if it does then we got big issues.  If it means nothing then his post is off base, pick one.



#60 GO24Seven

GO24Seven

    Rookie

  • 475 posts
  • Joined: Jul 16, 2009
  • Location:Paramount, CA
  • Name:Gilbert
  • Fan Since:Born A LAKER
  • Fav. Laker:ANY 1 IN the Purple & Gold

Posted October 28, 2013 - 09:05 PM

I've said this previously but if we are bound to be a 7th/8th seed, I'd rather miss the playoffs and get a lottery pick.  I don't see any possible way this team can get past the second round of the playoffs this year. 

 

I wouldn't say that we didn't improve because chemistry wise we will be better and offensively we will be better as well.  But in terms of defense and rebounding, we are going to struggle and those two things are what you need to be successful. 

I agree 100%. The worst thing you can possibly be is a middle of the road team. Look what that has gotten us the last 2 years. Not that this team won't be fun to watch at times. But we all know it wont get us far. Get that lottery pick, god knows we need it. Its the only one they haven't traded away.






0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users