Even as an Alabama fan, you can't really feel 100% certain he's gonna stay. Given his history, it's understandable why some people would doubt Nick Saban's word when it comes to staying or going.
Logically, I don't see any reason for him to go to Texas.
- Saban is the highest paid college coach if I'm not mistaken (he gets paid more than a lot of NFL coaches) and if he's not...he can get virtually whatever he wants from Alabama. This "buzz" could help his agent negotiate more money...more incentives...etc etc etc.
- He can get top high school recruits to come to Alabama.
- What's to gain by going to another college program? Alabama is now the standard in all of college football.
- He says he's too old to start over someplace else...so we'll see if he stays true to his word.