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Lakers Post All-Star Break Race To Playoffs: Week 3 (Updated Pg. 3)


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#1 AirTupac

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Posted March 03, 2013 - 12:23 PM

UPDATED: BOTTOM OF PAGE 3

 

 

All of this credit goes to Joelo246 who is updating this weekly on http://www.reddit.co..._week_1_update/

 

I'll update this thread as he does on his post.

 

Alright here's how this works. Below are predicted scenarios where the Lakers can pass GSW, UTAH, or HOU. If any of these teams get above +0 against the predicted pace, it's bad for us. If everyone is at 0, it means we're on track for the playoffs. If we go into the negative, it's bad. If they go into the negative, awesome. First letter is actual result (W/L), second is predicted result.

 

This thread will be updated daily and once a week I'll do a weekly update.

 

Summary of the week: Lakers gain solid ground on all 3 teams ahead of them post ASG with a 4-1 run compared to 3-3 for GSW, 2-2 for Houston and 1-3 for Utah. We're in good shape, but still havent' won any games we weren't supposed to, and need a lot more solid weeks like this before we lock up a playoff spot.

We Gives thanks to...: Monta Ellis for that absurd buzzer beater to put away Houston... David Lee for getting suspended from what ended up being a 4 point loss to NYC after 54 from Curry... Kobe for looking like he was still 28 and dominant all week... Boston for losing to us the day after the great Jerry Buss's passing, and then taking care of Utah for us a few days later.

 

Lakers predicted finish : 20-8 to finish at 45-37

Actual Finish (So far) : 4-1

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games out of 8th : 2

Schedule Strength : 12 of lakers last 23 games are against current playoff teams. 5 of those 12 are against elite playoffs teams (>60% win %) plus Chicago on the cusp (58.5%). They have 9 games against basement teams (<40% win %) and 10 against mid-range teams (40-60%). 11 are at home and 12 on the road.

 

Analysis : Lakers schedule is not impossible, but with 7 extremely tough games plus 3 against close rivals in the standings and needing to go 20-8, this inconsistent lakers team has zero margin for error. They must dominate all the soft games on the schedule and find ways to win all the close ones. And in the middle of all that they need one of the three teams above them to have a rough finish.

 

Weekly Update: This was a very solid week for the lakers. We took care of business in two very close games against teams that were virtually tied with us - Portland and Dallas. We got a revenge win on Boston, we handled Minnesota the way a good team should. Kobe and Nash are at the top of their games, the role players finally know their minutes and are producing consistently, and Dwight has looked engaged on defense every game. Only loss was in Denver... and honestly, back to back in Denver where they are 24-3 (2nd best home record in the NBA) - that would've been a really tough one for us to win, and it was okay to drop it. That said, 4-1 in the first week doesn't gain us any games on the pace we need - it just keeps us on track. We got ATL, OKC, NOH, TOR & CHI this week, if we can win 3 of those 5 we will be in great shape.

 

Player of the Week: Kobe Bryant (easy pick, as he was the actual Western Conference player of the week): Turns back the clock with some vintage 4th Quarter closing against Dallas & Portland, big dunks against Minny, and blew off his cold outside shooting by going 9/21 from deep over the week. Kobe Averaged 31.2/6.8/6.4 on 55.8% shooting over the week and POWERED lakers through to a 4-1 week.

 

Daily Update : Another important and solid win for LA. This obviously wasn't a tough game... Minny was SEVERELY depleted, and with pekovich getting injured early their size disadvantage was a joke. But the lakers played a crisp game and continue to show improved chemistry and they did something they never did in the first half of the season: they built an early lead and they kept it the whole game until Minnesota collapsed.

 

Complete : BOS(W-W), POR(W-W), @DAL(W-W), @DEN(L-L), MIN(W-W) |

Incomplete :ATL(X-L), @OKC(X-L), @NOH(X-W), TOR(X-W), CHI(X-L), @ORL(X-W), @ATL(X-L), @IND(X-L), SAC(X-W), @PHX(X-W), WAS(X-W), @GSW(X-W), @MIN(X-W), @MIL(X-W), @SAC(X-W), DAL(X-W), MEM(X-L), @LAC(X-L), NOH(X-W), @POR(X-W), GSW(X-W), SAS(X-W), HOU(X-W)

 

Golden State Warriors predicted finish : 15-15 to finish 45-37

Actual Finish (So far) : 3-5

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games Ahead of Lakers : 3.5 (6.5 before All-Star break)

 

Schedule Strength : 10 of their final 25 are against playoff teams, 4 against elite teams, 8 against basement dwellers, 11 against mid-range teams. 16 of 25 are at home.

 

Analysis : GSW's schedule is pretty favourable, but they have been doing the poorest lately. They have 2 games against houston, 2 against LA and 1 against utah left, plus a loss to utah already since the break, so if they can't get their mojo back they could be knocked out of the playoffs directly by the teams around them.

 

Weekly Update: It's been a roller coaster week in Golden State. Bogut's gone back out. Curry's in god mode. Lee got suspended on the eve of a really important game in New York for brawling in Indiana. They somehow beat San Antonio to get ahead of the pace, but I have no idea what they're going to look like next week after a long road trip. They've got a soft portion of the schedule coming up, so if they fail to take care of business against any basement teams this week we'll really know if there's a chance GSW will freefall out of the playoffs.

 

Player of the Week: Gotta be Stephen Curry. Shows a little of the "eff you" mode that few NBA players have, kicking in an NBA season high 54 against NYC IN NYC. Puts down 30 PPG over the week on 54% shooting including a ridiculous 53.8% from 3 (28 of 52). Oh and he averaged 4 boards and 6 dimes over the same stretch.

 

Daily Update : Terribly Philly team did us a huge favour tonight, winning a game I expected GSW to dominate. GSW stars played very well - 30/8 for Curry and 13/16/7 for Lee, even Klay Thompson busted out for 29 points and 7/12 from 3... but it looks like their bench killed them, with "6th man of the year candidate" Jarrett Jack going for 6 points on 3/13 shooting, 1 assist, 4 turnovers and a -9. This [expletive]ty loss knocks Golden State back to +0 balancing things out with their upset of San Antonio last week. Keep dropping games to bad teams like this and Lakers will be caught up in no time.

 

Complete : @UTA(L-L), PHX(W-W), SAS(W-L), @MIN(W-W), @IND(L-L), @NYK(L-L) | @BOS(L-L), @PHI(L-W)

Incomplete :, TOR(X-W), SAC(X-W), HOU(X-L), MIL(X-W), NYK(X-W), DET(X-W), CHI(X-L), @HOU(X-L), @NOH(X-W), @SAS(X-L), WAS(X-W), LAL(X-L), SAC(X-W), POR(X-L), NOH(X-W), @PHX(X-W), UTA(X-L), MIN(X-L), OKC(X-L), @LAL(X-L), SAS(X-W), @POR(X-W)

 

Utah Jazz predicted finish : 13-15 to finish 43-39

Actual Finish (So far) : 2-3

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games Ahead of Lakers : 3 (5.5 before ASG)

 

Schedule Strength : 13 of 23 games against playoff teams, 9 against elite teams, 6 against basement dwellers and 8 against mid-range teams. 12 of 24 at home.

Analysis : Utah's schedule is tough. With 10 elite opponents and a vulnerable roster, I feel good about our chances of having them struggle down the stretch.

 

Weekly Update: Rough week for Utah was expected - they were playing 4 solid playoff teams. Most experts and fans are coming around to the idea that Utah is the most likely to drop out of the playoffs, and I agree. They don't have the explosiveness to win random games with outside shooting against elite teams like GSW and HOU do, and they have by far the hardest closing stretch. This week coming up is much easier for Utah, starting with games against Charlotte, Milwaukee and Cleveland, but if they drop ANY of those we'll be in great shape.

 

Player of the Week: Gordon Hayward has been quietly killing it off the bench all week, scoring 19.2 PPG while shooting 41% from 3 and getting to the line 8 times a game. His gem was 26 points on 16 shots in Boston in a 3 point loss.

 

Daily Update : 5/5 on Utah's predictions now, as they trounce charlotte by 30. With Millsap and Jefferson out, Enes Kanter steps up with a 23 point/22 rebound game. After stops in Milwaukee and Cleveland coming up, Utah's schedule will get tough again. Lets hope their best players have to miss more than the bunny games.

 

Complete : GSW(W-W), @LAC(L-L), BOS(L-L), ATL(L-L) | CHA(W-W)

Incomplete :@MIL(X-W), @CLE(X-L), @CHI(X-L), @NYK(X-L), DET(X-W), @OKC(X-L), MEM(X-L), NYK(X-W), @HOU(X-L), @SAS(X-L), @DAL(X-W), PHI(X-W), PHX(X-W), @POR(X-L), BRK(X-L), POR(X-W), DEN(X-L), NOH(X-W), @GSW(X-W), OKC(X-L), MIN(X-W), @MIN(X-W), MEM(X-L)

 

Houston Rockets predicted finish : 15-12 to finish 44-38

Actual Finish (So far) : 3-2

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games Ahead of Lakers : 2.5 (3.5 before ASG)

 

Schedule Strength : 9 of 22 games against playoff teams, 6 against elite teams, 10 against trash and 8 against mid-range teams. 13 of 22 at home

 

Analysis : Houston's schedule is pretty easy, and of the three teams ahead of us I think their team is the most well constructed to compete down the stretch. They play phoenix [expletive]ing 4 times and the kings twice. They've been playing well lately and I honestly think we have a better chance of catching a tumbling utah or GSW than houston, even if they are our closest target.

 

Weekly Update: Of the three teams ahead of us, we gained the least ground on Houston, but they remain the closest target. They had a bizarre week in winning both games I expected them to lose (Brooklyn, OKC) and losing both games I expected them to win (WAS, MIL). At this point this is a classic team that lives and dies by the 3 and can beat or lose to any team on any night. So where will they finish? [expletive] if I know, I'm 0/4 on predicting them so far.

 

Player of the Week: I guess we have to default this to James Harden after he willed his team past former team OKC with a ridiculous night - 46 points on an absurd 19 shots to go with 8 boards and 6 assists. For the week James averaged 30/5/6 on 52% FG and 50% 3PT%.

 

Daily Update : Orlando gave Houston a good run, but in the end Houston rallied and put them down. Harden with 11 4th quarter points and Delfino bombing 5/9 on 3s didn't help. Not a big deal, but lets hope Dallas can do a little better and at least get a split over the next two games.

 

Complete : OKC(W-L), @BRK(W-L), @WAS(L-W), MIL(L-W) | @ORL(W-W)

 

Incomplete : DAL(X-W), @DAL(X-L), @GSW(X-W), @PHX(X-W), PHX(X-W), MIN(X-W), GSW(X-W), UTA(X-W), CLE(X-W), SAS(X-L), IND(X-L), @MEM(X-L), LAC(X-L), ORL(X-W), @SAC(X-W), @POR(X-L), @DEN(X-L), PHX(X-L), MEM(X-L), SAC(X-W), @PHX(X-W), @LAL(X-L)

 

Tie Breakers As per request :

  • Summary: Utah > Lakers, all the rest TBD over the last chunk of the season.

  • Lakers: Needs 1 more win to have season series over Golden State. Need one more win to tie up series with Houston. Have already lost season series vs Utah. vs Utah(L,L,W), vs Houston(W,L,L,X,), vs Golden State (W,W,X,X,)

  • Golden State: Needs 1 more win for season series vs Utah, Needs 2 wins to tie series with Houston and lakers. Utah(W,L,X) Houston (L,L,X,X)

  • Utah: Have series over Lakers, Need another win to take GSW series and another win to knot houston series. Houston (W,L,L,X)

  • Houston: Needs 1 more win to have series against Lakers, Golden State, and Utah.

 


Edited by AirTupac, March 18, 2013 - 09:09 PM.

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#2 K-Kris

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Posted March 03, 2013 - 01:14 PM

Thanks for posting
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#3 Majesty

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Posted March 03, 2013 - 01:32 PM

Very great analysis!
 

I've always liked Steve Blake.

 


#4 Roidz

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Posted March 03, 2013 - 04:42 PM

Good work bro

"What I'm doing right now, I'm chasing perfection." -Kobe Bean Bryant

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#5 Majesty

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    Grats on making the Raiderettes cuzzo!!

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 11:25 AM

Hopefully this is updated often, would love to keep track of things here.
 

I've always liked Steve Blake.

 


#6 BasketballIQ

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 11:27 AM

yup



#7 Massacre

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 11:44 AM

Not a mod, but this deserves a sticky if you keep it frequently updated.
EAT
SLEEP
CONQUER
REPEAT

#8 AirTupac

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 11:49 AM

Not a mod, but this deserves a sticky if you keep it frequently updated.

 

Yeah I'll definitely update it whenever the original guy does.


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#9 Majesty

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    Grats on making the Raiderettes cuzzo!!

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 11:55 AM

Not a mod, but this deserves a sticky if you keep it frequently updated.


Agreed 200%
 

I've always liked Steve Blake.

 


#10 gque24

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 12:51 PM

Good look keep updating
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#11 Ham

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 02:10 PM

This should be stickied. Good read.


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#12 Lakers4Life

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 02:32 PM

Sticky this please!!!
Laker fan for life.

#13 Ham

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Posted March 04, 2013 - 02:33 PM

Utah plays Milwaukee today. Lets hope they come out with a loss. 


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#14 Majesty

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Posted March 06, 2013 - 02:41 AM

We're ahead of our prediction currently. Atl was projected as a loss.

So next importance is beating NOH today and Toronto later, and I think we can beat Chicago(eventhough its a projected loss)
 

I've always liked Steve Blake.

 


#15 Ham

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Posted March 06, 2013 - 02:17 PM

man if we go above .500 ill be [expletive]ing happy lmfao...


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#16 Jackson

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Posted March 06, 2013 - 02:57 PM

Great Analysis!

 

We are ahead of schedule at this point.



#17 Majesty

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Posted March 06, 2013 - 03:08 PM

Yeah we are, we gotta beat NOH today and Toronto Later to stay ahead. Right now, advantage us.
 

I've always liked Steve Blake.

 


#18 AirTupac

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Posted March 09, 2013 - 09:12 AM

It's not updated yet but we are +1 for our predicted pace and Utah is -1 which is VERY good for us.


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#19 Ham

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Posted March 09, 2013 - 04:53 PM

No Melo or Stoudemire and Knicks still up

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#20 AirTupac

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Posted March 09, 2013 - 07:35 PM

WEEK 2 UPDATE:

 

Alright here's how this works. Below are predicted scenarios where the Lakers can pass GSW, UTAH, or HOU. If any of these teams get above +0 against the predicted pace, it's bad for us. If everyone is at 0, it means we're on track for the playoffs. If we go into the negative, it's bad. If they go into the negative, awesome. First letter is actual result (W/L), second is predicted result.

This thread will be updated daily and once a week I'll do a weekly update.

 

Summary of the week: As excellent as last week was, this week was even better. By Record, the Lakers went 3-1 while Golden State went 2-3, Utah Freefell 1-3 while Houston is the only team we didn't gain ground on with a matching 3-1. This was an amazing week not just for the clutch performance by LA, but because both Golden State and Utah dropped key games to bad teams (PHI, MIL, CLE). With an extremely tough stretch coming up for Utah (New York twice, Memphis, Oklahoma, Houston & San Antonio), the Lakers are poised to be in the 8th slot by the end of next week with a legit chance to move up to 7th. With our win over Atlanta we've even given ourselves a little breathing room to be able to take a bad loss somewhere down the stretch - a get out of jail free card that LA somehow managed to avoid spending this week on New Orleans & Toronto. For those scoring at home, Utah's 5.5 ASG lead on LA has been cut to half a game in just two weeks, and we've still got over a month to go.

We Gives thanks to...: Kobe "Are you [expletive]ing kidding me" Bryant, who somehow had an even better week than last week, and performed so well down the stretch against Toronto that even hardened TO fans gave him a nod of respect after the game... Rudy Gay & Eric Gordon for missing every important shot down the stretch... Josh Smith for not catching that last ball cleanly & telling interviewers Dwight would probably stay in LA afterwards. Jarrett Jack for laying a big egg in Philly and costing Golden State a precious win against a bad team. Orlando for trading J.J. Redick to Milwaukee, who must still have a little love for Dwight cause he dropped 8 points in overtime against the Jazz to put them away for us (special shout out to Marvin Williams, Randy Foye & Earl Watson, who all started for Utah that game and combined for... 0 points). Kyrie Irving, for his usual clutchness against Utah in the 4th, dropping a near triple double and helping beat them by 3. Oh, And Marco [expletive]ing Bellinelli for the game winning 3 against Utah... jesus, Utah could've easily gone 4-0 this week and LA could've easily gone 0-4... lets just thank the basketball gods in general for letting 6 1 to 6 point games swing in our favour in one week.

 

 

Lakers predicted finish : 20-8 to finish at 45-37

Actual Finish (So far) : 7-2

+/- Against predicted pace : +1

Games out of 8th : .5

Schedule Strength : 10 of lakers last 19 games are against current playoff teams. 4 of those 10 are against elite playoffs teams (>60% win %). They have 7 games against basement teams (<40% win %) and 8 against mid-range teams (40-60%). 9 are at home and 10 on the road.

Analysis : Lakers have done exactly what they needed to do through 2 weeks. They've taken care of business against every team around their level and below, and haven't dropped a bad game yet. They still have some long road trips coming up and some tough games, but they've now almost caught Utah and Utah's schedule is MUCH tougher down the stretch. Barring another major slump, Laker fans can legitimately start feeling like this is a playoff team and start worrying about how the hell we're going to dodge OKC and SAS and get that dream match against the clippers.

Weekly Update: For the cynical fans out there, this is about as ugly and close to 0-4 as a 3-1 week could've possibly been. In fact, over the 4 games we were a -8, Beating Atlanta by 1 points, NOH by 6, TOR by 2 and losing to OKC by 17. And despite Dwight playing really well, there are still serious we-are-screwed-in-the-playoffs issues with our defense. The way we clamped down on NOH in the 4th offers a bit of hope, but seriously... this week was ugly. From a fan standpoint though, I can't remember the regular season ever having a week this exciting for LA... talk about clutch performances. Dwight's making huge defensive plays. Kobe's been in god mode, and Nash seems to hit every big 3 we need out of him in the 4th. This coming week is going to be a tough one, with 3 solid eastern playoff teams - Chicago, Atlanto, and Indiana. If we can go 2-2 we'll be in great shape, and thanks to a great two weeks, even 1-3 won't kill us.

Player of the Week: I honestly wish I could put Dwight Howard here. He hasn't been complaining, he's been working hard on the boards, has had long stretches of the dominant defense we need from him, and has even been more productive on his hook shots. He's setting great screens, working hard to get free and getting LA lots of easy buckets. His performance down the stretch against New Orleans was filthy good and it's a shame he's overshadowed by Kobe. But as with most of his Legacy, Kobe's not the feel good story - he just takes the crown by force. Here are some numbers over the last 4 games: 36.75 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 7.5 APG, 44.8% from 3, 51.7% from the field, and one of those random nonsense records - oldest player ever to drop back-to-back 40/10 games. One of the Sloan basketball articles detailed how good players tend to get better in the clutch because they exert more effort and put their body on the line more down the stretch... and how Kobe is one of the guys who plays at his highest level from behind in the 4th. Talk about a performance for the ages to validate that research. Even the biggest Kobe fans didn't see this week coming. 3 threes in 2 minutes to force overtime, and the game winning dunk? Kobe's in playoff mode a month earlier than usual and it's awesome to watch, lets hope that intensity pushes this team to be at its peak as it hits the playoffs.

Daily Update :

Complete : BOS(W-W), POR(W-W), @DAL(W-W), @DEN(L-L), MIN(W-W) | ATL(W-L), @OKC(L-L), @NOH(W-W), TOR(W-W) |

Incomplete :CHI(X-L), @ORL(X-W), @ATL(X-L), @IND(X-L), SAC(X-W), @PHX(X-W), WAS(X-W), @GSW(X-W), @MIN(X-W), @MIL(X-W), @SAC(X-W), DAL(X-W), MEM(X-L), @LAC(X-L), NOH(X-W), @POR(X-W), GSW(X-W), SAS(X-W), HOU(X-W)

 

 

Golden State Warriors predicted finish : 15-15 to finish 45-37

Actual Finish (So far) : 5-6

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games Ahead of Lakers : 3 (6.5 before All-Star break)

Schedule Strength : 8 of their final 19 are against playoff teams, 4 against elite teams, 7 against basement dwellers, 8 against mid-range teams. 13 of 19 are at home.

Analysis : Golden State has a nice little home stand coming up against the east, but will face some challenging games against Milwaukee, New York and Chicago. Lakers are now setting their eyes on GSW who have been struggling despite great games from Curry. GSW likely overachieved the first half of the season and Bogut regaining his form from several years ago is the only thing that could make this team a real threat. As is, they're a pile of nice shooters and bad defenders. That said, their closing stretch doesn't have many elite teams left on it, so if they can regain their form they still have enough of a cushion to hold LA off.

Weekly Update: This will go down as a rough week for Golden State, particularly their loss in Philly. Win's over Toronto and Sacramento were expected, but losing to Houston puts them in serious jeopardy of conceding 6th seed to Houston, not the mention the Lakers creeping up on them. And I'm sure LA isn't the only team looking to avoid San Antonio and Oklahoma. These guys are fighting with a lot more success than Utah is though, as Like LAL, GSW took care of business in the 4th against both SAC and TOR in games they were in real danger of losing.

Player of the Week: It's close, but I'm going to give this week to Klay Thompson, as he basically matched Curry's production all week and hit the game winning 3 against Sacramento. On the week he put down 21.6PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 3.2 APG on 50% from 3 (20/40) and 100% from the line.

Daily Update :

Complete : @UTA(L-L), PHX(W-W), SAS(W-L), @MIN(W-W), @IND(L-L), @NYK(L-L) | @BOS(L-L), @PHI(L-W), TOR(W-W), SAC(W-W), HOU(L-L) |

Incomplete :MIL(X-W), NYK(X-W), DET(X-W), CHI(X-L), @HOU(X-L), @NOH(X-W), @SAS(X-L), WAS(X-W), LAL(X-L), SAC(X-W), POR(X-L), NOH(X-W), @PHX(X-W), UTA(X-L), MIN(X-L), OKC(X-L), @LAL(X-L), SAS(X-W), @POR(X-W)

 

 

Utah Jazz predicted finish : 13-15 to finish 43-39

Actual Finish (So far) : 2-6

+/- Against predicted pace : -1

Games Ahead of Lakers : .5 (5.5 before ASG)

Schedule Strength : 11 of 20 games against playoff teams, 9 against elite teams, 6 against basement dwellers and 5 against mid-range teams. 12 of 23 at home.

Analysis : Well, Utah has lost 1 out of every 4 games since the all star break and they were playing the softest part of their remaining schedule, which was the hardest of the four teams. You do the math. Unless something drastic happens, I expect Utah to tumble straight out of the playoff race over the next two weeks, and for the remaining 3 teams to be fighting for seeds down the stretch.

Weekly Update: I'm starting to think Utah doesn't WANT to make the playoffs. They start the week by drubbing Charlotte by 30 - a team so bad they are on pace to hit 50 losses before league leader San Antonio hits 50 wins (and also set the standard for futility with a -10.7 point differential, clearly outpacing Oklahoma's +9.6) then they proceed to lose to Milwaukee, Cleveland and Chicago, all in the 4th/overtime. This could've easily been a 4-0 week for Utah and I think it will turn out to be the week that breaks their playoff chances.

Player of the Week: Lets give it to Enes Kanter. With Jefferson and Millsap in and out of the lineup, Kanter put down 17 and 10.5 boards on the week, including a 22/23 game in their one win. If I was giving out a boob of the week it would go to Earl Watson, who started against Charlotte and Milwaukee and scored 0 points against both, then came off the bench vs the cavs to drop another 0 points... and was then given a DNP vs chicago.

Daily Update : And right on cue, Utah's about to lose again before I can finish the weekly update. CHILL Utah I'll get to you!

Complete : GSW(W-W), @LAC(L-L), BOS(L-L), ATL(L-L) | CHA(W-W), @MIL(L-W), @CLE(L-L), @CHI(L-L) |

Incomplete :@NYK(X-L), DET(X-W), @OKC(X-L), MEM(X-L), NYK(X-W), @HOU(X-L), @SAS(X-L), @DAL(X-W), PHI(X-W), PHX(X-W), @POR(X-L), BRK(X-L), POR(X-W), DEN(X-L), NOH(X-W), @GSW(X-W), OKC(X-L), MIN(X-W), @MIN(X-W), MEM(X-L)

 

 

Houston Rockets predicted finish : 15-12 to finish 44-38

Actual Finish (So far) : 5-3

+/- Against predicted pace : +0

Games Ahead of Lakers : 2 (3.5 before ASG)

Schedule Strength : 8 of 19 games against playoff teams, 6 against elite teams, 9 against trash and 4 against mid-range teams. 12 of 19 at home

Analysis : Well, Houston has gotten a lot of the middle teams out of the way, and now has a big pile of easy games with a sprinkle of very tough games left. Even if they drop every game against the good teams left, they still have a very solid chance of going 12-7, keeping themselves well out of range of LA. This week opens with a breezey back to back against phoenix and then Minnesota. At the end of the week things start to get interesting as they face rivals GSW and UTA in consecutive games. Next week if the only really tough stretch for Houston. By the end of that week, Houston will have either collapsed or be completely out of reach for LA.

Weekly Update: Houston once again was the only team to keep pace with LA. They won all the games they had to win, including an assertive 4th quarter win over standings rival Golden State. Loss to Dallas at home was no big deal, and Houston looks poised to entrench itself in the 6th seed, provided it can assert it's dominance over Utah and Golden State late next week, games that will put them permanently ahead in the standings and seal the tie breakers.

Player of the Week: I'm going to give it to Chandler Parsons, who has emerged as James Harden's Klay Thompson to Stephen Curry - he doesn't handle the ball as much or run the offense, but he shoots lights out and frequently matches or surpasses Harden's point production while playing solid D. This week Parsons put down 25.5 PPG on a RIDICULOUS 20 for 30 from 3 (66.6%) and 67.8% from the field.

Daily Update :

Complete : OKC(W-L), @BRK(W-L), @WAS(L-W), MIL(L-W) | @ORL(W-W), DAL(W-W), @DAL(L-L), @GSW(W-W) |

Incomplete :@PHX(X-W), PHX(X-W), MIN(X-W), GSW(X-W), UTA(X-W), CLE(X-W), SAS(X-L), IND(X-L), @MEM(X-L), LAC(X-L), ORL(X-W), @SAC(X-W), @POR(X-L), @DEN(X-L), PHX(X-L), MEM(X-L), SAC(X-W), @PHX(X-W), @LAL(X-L)

 

 

Tie Breakers As per request :

  • Summary: Utah > Lakers, Houston > Golden State all the rest TBD over the last chunk of the season.

  • Lakers: Needs 1 more win to have season series over Golden State. Need one more win to tie up series with Houston. Have already lost season series vs Utah. vs Utah(L,L,W), vs Houston(W,L,L,X,), vs Golden State (W,W,X,X,)

  • Golden State: Needs 1 more win for season series vs Utah, has lost series with Houston. Utah(W,L,X) Houston (L,L,L,X)

  • Utah: Have series over Lakers, Need another win to take GSW series and another win to knot houston series. Houston (W,L,L,X)

  • Houston: Has series against Golden State, Needs 1 more win to have series against Lakers and Utah.


Edited by AirTupac, March 09, 2013 - 07:42 PM.

To Live and Die in L.A




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